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A STUDY OF LOW-CARBON INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT INWESTERN REGION OF CHINA |
SONG Zhou-ying1,2, TANG Zhi-peng1,2, LIUWei-dong1,2 |
1. Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;
2. Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China |
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Abstract Regional industrial structure has been argued to be critical to regional development. "Western Region Development Program" is a very important development program of Macro-region approved by the State Council of PRC in 2000. Since then, the Western Region of China has achieved fast industrial development. But it has still lagged a lot in terms of industrial structure and economic development, compared to national average. It is against such a background that this paper will take a comprehensive examination on the further industrial development in the Western Region of China. Firstly, we analyze the spatiotemporal evolution of regional industrial structure from 2000 to 2010, by using data from national statistical yearbooks as well as provincial statistical yearbooks. Secondly, we employ Vector Auto Regression model to calculate CO2, SO2 and other major environment pollutants' emission trends in 2011-2020, based on data analysis of 2000-2009. Lastly, we try to provide some advices and suggestions for the further industrial development in the Western Region of China. Our examination shows that: ①Western China enters a rapid industrialization period; ② Western China is gradually emerging as China's most important base of raw materials, especially coal, oil, gas and important metal and non-metal mineral resources; ③ CO2, SO2 and other major environment pollutants' emission of Western China in 2011-2020 will be in an upward trend; ④ further industrial development in western China should give full attention to resource conservation and recycling, and take the road of low carbon and sustainable development.
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Received: 23 May 2012
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